Simon Littlewood, Author at Global Finance Magazine https://gfmag.com/author/simon-littlewood/ Global news and insight for corporate financial professionals Tue, 08 Jul 2025 21:00:50 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://gfmag.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/favicon-138x138.png Simon Littlewood, Author at Global Finance Magazine https://gfmag.com/author/simon-littlewood/ 32 32 Price Of Protection: Inside The Global High-Stakes Response To Tariff Turmoil https://gfmag.com/features/price-of-protection-inside-the-global-high-stakes-response-to-tariff-turmoil/ Tue, 08 Jul 2025 16:00:50 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=71235 As trade tensions rise and currency markets swing, how are companies around the world coping with the uncertainty?

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To find out how companies are coping with rising trade tensions and currency volatility, we asked our writers across key regions—Southeast Asia, Japan, India, and the United States—to speak with manufacturers and exporters on the ground.

The picture that emerged is one of caution, adaptation—and, above all, unpredictability. While some companies declined to comment or requested anonymity, others offered a window into how they’re navigating the volatility.

A few, including firms both outside and within the US, pointed to short-term advantages. But most described a landscape where contingency planning, hedging, and “wait-and-see” strategies have become the norm.

No one claimed to be immune. And all agreed on one thing: the situation is fluid, and it could change again—quickly.


Bill Padfield, CEO of Salamander AssociatesVC Business Consulting

Salamander has been closely monitoring the ripple effects of US trade policy across Southeast Asia. Padfield argues that the tariffs promulgated by the Trump administration have generated enormous hesitation in the business community. “First the pause button goes on; capital investment is halted, hiring is halted,” he adds.

In Southeast Asia’s technology manufacturing sectors, steel is a critical component. “Tech manufacturers often have steel in products,” Padfield says. “For Singapore, we have a 10% tariff, so life goes on—except what if we need steel?”

If a company’s product contains 40% steel, the ambiguity is paralyzing, he adds. “[The manufacturer] has no idea at this point how to calculate and adjust, so he cannot safely procure or price his product.” Padfield also warns of a broader, looming concern: “And so far, tariffs have been on physical products. What about services and capital flows? Will services be included and if so when … this is a grim worry for Singapore, Hong Kong, and Dubai.”

Gary Dugan, CEO of the CIO Office of Milltrust’s East West Private Wealth—Multi-Family Office Services

Dugan sees a clear shift underway. “Business leaders are actively seeking non-US solutions for customers and suppliers for their future growth. The US may be the largest economy in the world but now it is fast becoming one of the most unreliable.”

Simple risk mitigation for a company is now “how do I reduce my exposure to US policy making?” Encouraged by talk of new free trade zones elsewhere in the world, companies are actively exploring new manufacturing bases such as the Middle East, where there is an abundance of support from the governments in the form of ultra-low taxes, land, workers, and top-class logistics.

Vietnam

As the US considers reimposing steep tariffs on Asian imports, business leaders in Vietnam are watching closely. From M&A advisors to food exporters, the proposed trade shifts under the Trump administration could reshape everything from pricing strategies to regional market priorities. Nguyen Dung Yoong, CEO of advisory firm Ideainvest; Ignas Petrusis, founder of Saigon Fruits; and other company executives, share how they’re preparing their businesses—and their partners—for a more protectionist US trade environment.

Nguyen Dung Yoong, founder and CEO IdeainvestorSME Consulting

Nguyen Dung Yoong, founder and CEO Ideainvest
Nguyen Dung Yoong, founder and CEO Ideainvest

Global Finance: How is your company reacting to Trump’s tariff plans?

Nguyen Dung Yoon: Ideainvestor, while not a direct exporter, works closely with a network of SMEs across Vietnam and Southeast Asia—many of whom are active in electronics, agri-processing, light manufacturing, and textile garment. The Trump-era tariffs have added volatility and margin pressure to these sectors, and further escalation would intensify the challenge.

GF: Are you finding solutions to the tariff challenges?

Yoon: To support our partners, we’re piloting an AI-based platform that assesses SME resilience across financial, operational, and customer dimensions—enabling targeted interventions such as supplier diversification or contract restructuring. This gives us a real-time view of tariff exposure across our ecosystem.

GF: Will expanding to other markets be essential if the proposed tariffs come in full force?

Yoon: If reciprocal tariffs on Vietnam are imposed, we expect upward pressure on wholesale and consumer pricing. That said, we see strong opportunities in APAC—particularly in Japan, South Korea, and India—and are advising our partners to deepen these opportunities.

Ignas Petrusis, founder of Saigon Fruits—Food Export-Import Company

GF: Have the Trump tariffs had a material impact on Saigon Fruits’ business partners?

Petrusis: At first, contracts with importers in America came on short hold as soon as the tariffs were announced. Later, once Vietnam and America agreed on a “90-day break,” demand and inquiries triple-folded. So far, we’re optimistic about the negotiations. It would be difficult to shift production elsewhere because we’d need to move our food technologists, equipment, and allocate new managers. That would cost us much more in terms of cost, time, and effort. It’s easier to simply “split the cost” between the importer in the US and our company, Saigon Fruits.

Ignas Petrusis, founder Saigon Fruits
Ignas Petrusis, founder Saigon Fruits

GF: What happens to wholesale/retail prices if the proposed 46% reciprocal tariffs on Vietnam come into effect?

Petrusis: Supposedly, export prices should—in my humble opinion—drop a little bit to relieve the burden on the customers.

GF: How significant will APAC be as a buyer of Saigon Fruits’ affiliates’ products going forward?

Petrusis: Some countries like Thailand and Cambodia have similar climate zones and product variety. As for highly advanced economies like Japan, China, or Korea—we’ve seen steady and growing export volumes to those destinations. Nevertheless, we’re also seeing growing demand in countries like Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and others in the Middle East. They could be a promising new market for our products.

GF: What is the mood among food exporters in Vietnam right now? Is there any optimism?

Petrusis: Vietnam wasn’t the only country affected by the tariffs. For instance, if Cambodia or China were to receive higher tariffs after the final negotiations, it would boost Vietnam’s competitiveness in terms of cost base for the importer. At least among our colleagues, partners, and suppliers, the mood is optimistic—many believe exports will keep rising. Furthermore, Vietnam has at least 16 active Free Trade Agreements, including the ones with Europe, South American, and Middle East countries. It is truly a showcase of good negotiation skills and win-win thinking implementation from the Vietnamese side.

Bruno Jaspaert, CEO of Belgium-based DEEP C Industrial Zones—Industrial Zone Developer and Operator

As Vietnam prepares for the potential return of steep US tariffs under the second Trump administration, industrial real estate leaders like DEEP C are keeping a close eye on the ripple effects. The company, which operates five eco-industrial parks across Haiphong City and Quang Ninh Province, is one of Vietnam’s largest zone developers.

GF: Have the Trump tariffs had a material impact on DEEP C’s business?

Bruno Jaspaert: So far, there has been no impact as zero projects have been delayed or canceled so far. Initially, there was concern that some investors might reconsider their plans. However, an assessment of all companies slated to acquire land in DEEP C industrial zones across Hai Phong and Quang Ninh this year revealed that none of these projects will be postponed or aborted. This indicates that companies which have committed to investing are currently sticking to their plans, which is a positive sign.

Bruno Jaspaert, CEO at DEEP C Industrial Zones
Bruno Jaspaert, CEO at DEEP C Industrial Zones

GF: Have DEEP C’s customers formulated a strategy to mitigate tariff impact?

Jaspaert: We generally see two distinct groups. One group says it’s too difficult to predict future events and chooses to continue with their plans, confident that their current strategy is the best course of action for now. The other group expresses uncertainty due to market volatility and unknown future measures the US will take, opting to wait before committing. This second group currently represents the minority; the majority of companies are proceeding with their strategies.

GF: Is there likely to be an impact on DEEP C’s customers’ wholesale/retail prices if the proposed reciprocal tariffs on Cambodia come into effect?

Jaspaert: Most of DEEP C’s customers are focused on manufacturing of goods that do not focus on the US as the main market. The segments that are hit worst are typical low-margin markets, such as furniture, sport goods, garments, and textiles—of which we have none with Washington, D.C.

GF: How significant will markets outside the USi.e., APAC, Europe or Canadabe as a buyer of your customers’ products in the domestic industry going forward?

Jaspaert: The US stands for 300 million consumers. The TAM (total addressable market) for the consumer in Asia is worth $4 billion. If tariffs make the US a prohibitive market, companies will adapt and lean toward other markets or aim for more intra-Asian trade.

GF: What is the general mood among exporters in Vietnam right now?

Jaspaert: Except for the heaviest hit markets, most distributors are sticking to a “wait-and-see” approach. Companies cannot change their strategies overnight and definitely not every 90 days. Rather than diving in, they are awaiting the final call before making strategic adjustments. Those companies that are hit badly are currently running at full speed to export the most to benefit from the current 10%.


Indian companies are also weighing the ripple effects on global supply chains, trade relationships, and cost structures. From tech consulting to textiles and industrial manufacturing, Global Finance spoke to two India-based executives on how policy shifts may reshape sourcing decisions and create new market opportunities.

Deepak Jajoo, CFO of Delaplex Limited—Technology and Consulting Services

“While services are currently not subject to tariffs, we provide technology and consulting services to a broad range of US-based industries such as energy, warehousing, logistics, etc. The primary impact of such policy changes is likely to be on manufacturing and physical goods. Since the policy details are yet to be finalized, we believe the changes will not have a major effect on the IT industry at this stage.”

Sabu Jacob, Chairman and Managing Director of Kitex Group—Textiles and Apparel Manufacturing


“The US has paused [some] tariffs, leaving some uncertainty for buyers about where to source their products, but even if these tariffs take effect, India will still be the most affordable option for buyers.” 

Sabu Jacob, Kitex Group’s Chairman and Managing Director


Jacob explained that India’s trade relationship with the US is more balanced compared to countries like Cambodia, Vietnam, China, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka. “India doesn’t just export to the US—it also imports heavily from them. This makes India a valuable trade partner, and the US is looking for more such balanced relationships.”  The tariff situation could also push businesses to explore new markets. For instance, the recent India-UK free trade agreement allows 99% of Indian goods to enter the UK duty-free, covering almost all trade between the two nations. “A similar free trade agreement with the EU could open even bigger opportunities for India’s economy.”

David Semaya, Executive Chairman and Representative Director of Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management Co., Ltd.—Asset Management

Semaya says Japanese companies are taking a “wait-and-see” approach as tariff negotiations between the US and Japan remain unresolved.

“Regarding the mutual tariffs imposed by the United States, many Japanese companies are currently assessing the situation. Following the US-UK agreement, both the US and Chinese governments have agreed to reduce the additional tariffs they imposed on each other by 115%. As a result, the US will lower its tariffs from 145% to 30%, while China will reduce theirs from 125% to 10%. Since negotiations between the US and Japan are ongoing, and the outcome is still uncertain, Japanese companies are choosing not to finalize any strategies at this moment and are responding according to the present state of negotiations.

“The financial markets have reacted significantly, in terms of stocks, bonds, and currencies, since the mutual tariffs were announced. It is reported that some institutional investors, including hedge funds, have incurred losses. On the other hand, individual investors engaged in practices such as dollar-cost averaging seem to have navigated the situation successfully. Focusing on long-term investments appears to be crucial during these times.”


Tony Sage, CEO of Critical Metals Corp.—Critical Metals and Minerals Supplier

Tony Sage, CEO at Critical Metals Corp.
Tony Sage, CEO at Critical Metals Corp.

“For Critical Metals, and the critical minerals space more broadly—tariffs are no stranger to us. We’ve been in our own mini trade war with China for some time now, which really ramped up when they banned their own exports of key rare earths, including gallium, last year. Critical Metals views the push to build a domestic supply chain for critical materials in the US and the West as a positive tailwind for our business. It aligns with our longstanding vision to develop key assets that can help the West reduce its reliance on foreign countries. Our Tanbreez asset in Greenland, a 4.7 billion ton resource, is one of the world’s largest rare earth deposits, and it’s expected to be key in reducing the West’s reliance on China for rare earths.

“It’s also worth noting that the US’s domestic rare earth and critical minerals industry is still in its infancy—the US excluded rare earth elements from the tariff program because the country must rely so heavily on other sources right now. Tariffs may draw more attention to US producers, but what we feel is really going to move the needle is funding and strategic partnerships with US-focused companies to operationalize rare earth mines and refining capacity in the US as quickly as possible. Seeking relief for rare earth export restrictions isn’t enough, we believe the US government needs to back Western developers and help establish refining capacity in particular.

“As we’ve consistently maintained since our founding, securing critical minerals is a non-partisan national security imperative. Our assets provide exactly what policymakers across the political spectrum are seeking—reliable, high-quality resources in politically stable jurisdictions.”

Jeet Basi, President and Executive Chairman of Tactical Resources Corp.—Rare Earths Mineral Exploration and Development

“At Tactical Resources, we see measures to promote the building of domestic supply chains for the United States as a tailwind. We are focused on American assets for American rare earth production and American rare earth supply to support the production of semiconductors, electric vehicles, advanced robotics, and most importantly, national defense. Tariffs are just one tactic, as its broader and bigger than that. While there is economic uncertainty, we are benefiting from a broader geopolitical interest in securing critical mineral supplies in the US. This demand is stemming from both the federal government and the private sector, and we believe that’s only going to increase.

“The bottom line is that China has a substantial lead in the rare earths sector, and the US is racing to catch up. China currently controls roughly 90% of global rare earth production, despite accounting for only about one-third of global deposits. Tactical Resources is planning to change that with our Peak Project, which is one of the only REE hard rock direct-leach-extractable projects in the world, and is located southeast of El Paso, Texas. But tariffs won’t be enough for the US to build an integrated domestic supply chain of rare earths. The industry needs capital, price stability, streamlined permitting processes (efforts are underway for this aspect), and to establish refining capacity as quickly as possible.”

Cassandra (Gluyas) Cummings, CEO at Thomas Instrumentation Inc.—Custom Electronics Manufacturing Services

Cassandra (Gluyas) Cummings, CEO at Thomas Instrumentation Inc.
Cassandra (Gluyas) Cummings, CEO at Thomas Instrumentation Inc.

“The Trump administration’s policies are helping our business. For years we couldn’t compete with foreign pricing, but having tariffs in place at least have US companies taking another look at US manufacturing. They are sometimes still choosing to stay with their foreign manufacturers, but for years, we couldn’t even get a conversation started as everyone just assumed US manufacturing would be too expensive. It doesn’t have to be, and we can be fairly competitive in some areas.

“The tariffs aren’t affecting our supply chains too badly. It has increased some costs of our raw materials like the higher-end electronic chips that are only manufactured overseas. That said, it’s fairly small, and we do keep decent in stock inventory for our major customers. Our profit margins are very low, so we inevitably have to pass along any additional tariff charges to the customers. We are doing our best to identify US or lower tariff region alternatives where the cost makes sense. It’s just about being flexible, which we all learned to do during the global parts shortage of 2021.”

Heather Perry, CEO of Klatch Coffee—Specialty Coffee Distributor

“The short story is that some of our costs are going up, immediately, but the longer, more detailed story is that those increased costs are causing us to evaluate our sourcing, importing, and roasting strategies. We need to be smarter to remain competitive in the current environment while still delivering great specialty coffee.

“Other than a very small amount of coffee produced primarily in Hawaii, the United States has essentially no domestic coffee industry. To meet the demand for total US coffee consumption, it’s almost entirely imported. That means there isn’t much of a domestic market to protect using a tariff strategy as a disincentive to foreign imports—and we can’t simply stop importing coffee, no matter what tariffs might be put in place.

“Coffee was already becoming more expensive to source prior to the ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs, with a pretty substantial run-up in prices occurring in the fall of 2024, which accelerated further this spring. A new baseline 10% tariff under the Trump Administration on all imports impacts us on every imported coffee, and in addition to the new 10% baseline, even higher tariffs (in some cases, much higher) were announced for some coffee producing countries like Vietnam and Indonesia. While some of these have since been paused or delayed.


“Uncertainty around the exact details on any specific day are creating some challenges to plan and predict our future costs.”

Heather Perry, CEO of Klatch Coffee


“Our direct-trade model has insulated us somewhat from supply disruptions. Whenever possible, we source directly from coffee producers, leveraging relationships that go back decades in some cases. This results in fewer stops along the supply chain, helping us to control costs. Because we import, store, and roast our own coffee, we can elect to draw down existing stock instead of replacing it at current (higher) market prices, but eventually, we have to replenish our inventory, and that might happen during a time when new tariffs are applied.

“After a very long period of absorbing increases in our costs to import coffee, we raised prices on some coffees on June 1st of this year—about 10 cents per cup of brewed coffee on average—but we’re still selling the same amount of coffee, and at this time, can’t attribute a decline in foot traffic or sales to price increases.”

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Malaysia: Leveraging A Strategic Location https://gfmag.com/features/malaysia-leveraging-a-strategic-location/ Mon, 16 Jun 2025 09:11:00 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=70940 Malaysia - an expanding and diversifying economy is attracting foreign investors to the peninsular nation. Proximity to pricey Singapore helps.

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Vital Statistics
Location: Southeast Asia
Neighbors: Singapore, Thailand, Myanmar
Capital City: Kuala Lumpur
Population (2022): 35.9 million
Official Language: Malay
GDP per capita (2025): $13,140 (est.)
GDP growth (2025): 5% (est.)
Inflation (2025): 2%-3.5% (est.)
Currency: Ringgit
Investment promotion agency: InvestKL, under the Ministry of International Trade and Industry; also the Malaysian Investment Development Authority for manufacturing and servicing sectors
Investment incentives: Income tax reductions, special economic development zones, tax incentives and discounts for individuals and entities invested in carbon capture
Corruption Perceptions Index rank (2021): 62/180
Political risks: Interethnic conflict and resentment; conflict over Islamic versus secular law and over the rule of law over senior politicians
Security risks: Marine piracy, particularly in the Malacca Strait and between Sabah and the Philippines; instances of terrorism; human trafficking and sex trafficking; high risk of kidnapping and violent crime, particularly near the east coast of Sabah, with land- and water-based curfews; petty crime widespread; fraud and scams of all kinds common; homosexuality illegal and selectively punished, including violent vigilantism
Pros
Stable government committed to reform
Determination to reduce corruption
Young labor force
Vibrant energy sector
Strong relations with China
Adjacent alternative to a vibrant but costly Singapore
Cons
Impacts of global trade upheaval
Resistance of special interests to reform
Undeveloped infrastructure
History of fractious relations with global economic powers, especially the US

Sources: CIA World Factbook, International Monetary Fund, Malaysia Government Department of Statistics, Malaysian National News Agency, Reuters, Trading Economics, Transparency International, US State Department, World Bank, World Population Review

Located at the center of Southeast Asia, with 35.9 million citizens and forecast average growth of 5% in 2025, Malaysia is expanding its profile as an investment hub. According to the Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDI), the multi-state federal monarchy recorded RM378.5 billion (about US$88.2 billion) in approved investments last year, the highest in the nation’s history, and marked 14.9% year-on-year growth in investment. Those numbers reflect in part the increasingly tense relations between mainland China, the regional behemoth, and the US, but also Malaysia’s common-law heritage, educated, English-speaking workforce, and significantly lower costs compared with its smaller neighbor, Singapore. “Malaysia is rich in natural resources and boasts sophisticated infrastructure and advanced digital networks,” notes Dato’ Anusha Santhirasthipam, founder of Akshiya Global Ventures. “Unlike [Singapore], “we have prime land available for development. We also boast a vibrant and dynamic corporate sector and a highly skilled and technologically excellent pool of human resources.”

Tech giants including Microsoft and Alphabet (Google) have established a significant presence in peninsular Malaysia, leveraging a skilled workforce and its strategic location. BMW and Toyota, too, have expanded production facilities, recognizing Malaysia’s growing consumer market and direct access to the 10-nation, 660 million-strong ASEAN market.

Along with a stable government and a track record of business-friendly policies, Malaysia also has built an attractive assortment of tax incentives and benefits for family offices, foreign investors, and expatriates, Santhirasthipam says.

Robust Growth Expectations

Despite the Washington-triggered global trade upheaval, officials are holding to a strong outlook for this year.

Speaking recently in Kuala Lumpur, Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour, governor of the Central Bank of Malaysia, reaffirmed the bank’s 2025 growth forecast of 4.5% to 5.5%.

“Despite mounting risks from a potential global trade war, escalating geopolitical tensions and rising protectionism,” he said, “sustained domestic demand— driven by robust investment activity from multi-year projects—will be the key growth driver while a strong labor market and income-boosting policies continue to support household spending.”

While heightened global uncertainties—particularly the resurgence of protectionist policies—could pose risks to the broader economic outlook, some 6,700 projects across key sectors will create more than 207,000 new jobs this year, Ghaffour forecast, “reinforcing Malaysia’s position as a premier investment destination.”

Foreign investor confidence in Malaysia remains strong. As of last month, domestic investment accounts for 55% of total investment (RM208.1 billion) and foreign investment the remaining 45% (RM170.4 billion).

Five key partners lead the way: the US (RM32.8 billion), Germany (RM32.2 billion), China (RM28.2 billion), Singapore (RM27.3 billion), and Hong Kong (RM7.4 billion).

Climate For Digital Startups

JH Growth Partners, a marketing and sales consultant, has established a strong presence in the region, with business operations in both Singapore and Malaysia.

“Our business in Malaysia is centered on digital products, specifically in programmatic advertising, alongside a suite of broader digital marketing services,” says Daniël Heerkens, managing partner. “We recognized a gap in the market— we went for it.”

Several factors make Malaysia an attractive proposition, Heerkins argues: first, its proximity to Singapore. “You can be in Kuala Lumpur from Singapore with a mere 45-minute flight or a comfortable five-hour drive. This facilitates easy management and movement of personnel.”

Second, costs are significantly lower in Malaysia: typically, around 50% less than in Singapore. This provides a substantial advantage when establishing operations or scaling a business.

Third, English is widely spoken, making communication and business transactions relatively seamless. The cultural similarities with Singapore also contribute to a smoother transition for expatriates and businesses.

“Finally,” he notes, “we found that Malaysian clients were increasingly seeking service providers with international experience beyond Malaysia. With our blend of European and Asia-Pacific expertise, we are well-positioned to offer both competitive pricing and in-depth knowledge.”

An additional boost came from the Malaysia Digital Economy Corporation (MDEC), the government agency that encourages and promotes the nation’s tech sector.

“MDEC proved invaluable, assisting us with the online application process,” Heerkens says. “We successfully secured tax-free status for five years, which was a significant boost. Furthermore, MDEC facilitated easy visa approvals for our company’s specialists and we were able to establish a 100% foreign-owned company with a relatively low paid-up capital requirement of only US$50,000.”

Heerkens cautions that while his firm’s overall experience has been positive, Malaysia has a conservative business culture and decisions often take longer than foreigners may be accustomed to: “Business development, in particular, requires a greater emphasis on building strong relationships—guanxi—and this more deliberate approach is something to be aware of and to factor into your planning.”

Heerkens advises companies considering investment in Malaysia to adopt a longer-term—three to five years—perspective, plotting it as a second-or third-stage expansion in Asia after setting up a regional headquarters in a more established hub like Singapore.

“While your investment will go further in Malaysia compared to Singapore,” he cautions, “it’s essential to recognize that it requires a greater on-the-ground presence.”

Lasting Strengths

That said, Akshiya’s Santhirasthipam expects the economy to keep on its current growth trajectory.

“Malaysia will remain strong in services, manufacturing, and digital economy for the next 20 years or longer,” she predicts, underscoring the high level of foreign direct investment in the Johor- Singapore Special Economic Zone as well as the island of Penang and Sarawak in northern Borneo. Enterprises that have recently attracted attention in these regions are a longish list: medical tourism, eco-tourism, speciality hotels and hospitality, lifestyle commercial centers, digital economy and data centers, premium assisted living and retirement residential developments, life sciences and biotechnology, green economy and energy transition, agro-processing industries, and innovative farm-to-table solutions.

“Any investment in manufacturing projects should be close to the best infrastructure locations of Penang, Johor, and Selangor,” Santhirasthipam advises.

As a small and open economy, officials are equally confident in the country’s near future, despite the roiling global trade picture.

“Malaysia is not insulated from these global developments,” says Ghaffour. “Nevertheless, our diversified economic structure and policies accord us the resilience and agility to navigate headwinds. Overall, we are confident that the economy will remain on a steady growth path.”

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Indonesia: Building The Future Of Southeast Asia https://gfmag.com/emerging-frontier-markets/indonesia-economy-growing/ Wed, 05 Feb 2025 21:38:39 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=69953 Indonesia is attracting foreign investors with its growing middle class, young demographics, and abundant resources. The newly-admitted member of the BRICS bloc of developing economies presents companies with a stable alternative to China, low tariffs to the 677 million people of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and a 25-year history of democratic transition. Read more...

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Indonesia is attracting foreign investors with its growing middle class, young demographics, and abundant resources.

The newly-admitted member of the BRICS bloc of developing economies presents companies with a stable alternative to China, low tariffs to the 677 million people of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and a 25-year history of democratic transition.

At the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Peru last November, Indonesia’s new President Prabowo Subianto, who began his term in October, emphasized that foreign investments would be protected by a solid legal framework, and highlighted incentives and a commitment to liberalizing ownership laws.

Several global financial institutions—including the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the Asian Development Bank—estimate that Indonesia’s economy will grow within the range of 5% to 5.1% in 2025.

Vital Statistics
Location: Southeast Asia
Neighbors: Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, Brunei Darussalam, the Philippines, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia
Capital city: Jakarta (on Java); new capital, Nusantara (on Borneo) under construction
Population: (2024): 283.4 million
Official language: Bahasa Indonesia
Others: more than 700 languages including English, Dutch, local dialects (of which Javanese is most widely spoken).
GDP per capita (2024): $5,000
GDP growth (2024): 5%
Inflation (2024): 2.5%
Currency: Indonesian rupiah
Investment promotion agency: BKPM
Investment incentives available: Tax holidays, tax allowances, exemptions of import duties for capital goods and raw materials; priority sectors eligible for further tax and other incentives, such as facilitated licensing and land use, waiving import duties; tax incentives include eliminating income tax on dividends earned in Indonesia and on certain income, including dividends earned abroad, if invested in Indonesia; special economic and trade zones
Corruption Perceptions
Index rank (2023): 115/180
Political risk: China encroachment (low risk); separatist group in Papua continues low-intensity conflict; military has strong political influence; territorial disputes with neighbors over various islands and fishing grounds
Security risk: Islamic terrorism presents minor risk; instances of maritime piracy in the Strait of Malacca; regular occurrence of violent incidents and threats against foreigners by militant groups in Papua; major transit point for illicit narcotics; armed robberies occur regularly; petty crime common; kidnapping; harassment of women traveling alone; reckless driving and poor road conditions
Pros
Democratic change, smooth elections
English widely spoken in main centers
Political commitment to ease investment and reduce bureaucracy
Trade treaties include ASEAN, RCEP, Indo Pacific Economic Framework, and OECD Inclusive Framework on Base Erosion and Profit Shifting
27 bilateral investment agreements in force
All political parties stress foreign direct investment
and growth
Strong relations with US and China
Cons
No bilateral investment treaty with US
Undeveloped infrastructure (though improving)
Nationalistic politics can create investment difficulty
Approval process complex (but getting simpler)
Regional ambitions of China
Corruption continues to hamper judiciary; graft investigations of senior judges and court staff
Sources: CIA World Factbook, Government of Canada Global Travel Advisory, IMF, Trading Economics, Transparency International, US State Department, PwC, UNCTAD, World Bank, World Population Review.
 
For more information about Indonesia, click here to read Global Finance’s country report page.

Traditionally dependent on hydrocarbons and minerals, Indonesia’s digital economy is now booming thanks to high internet penetration and a tech-savvy population. The country’s tropical climate and enormous geothermal resources also offer compelling opportunities for early investors in carbon-free energy.

Monopolies ‘Diminished’

Indonesia endured decades of miliary dictatorship following independence from Dutch colonists. And since the fall of strongman President Suharto’s regime in 1998, the country became a democracy. This was “unthinkable in the Suharto era,” Richard Borsuk, co-author of “Liem Sioe Liong’s Salim Group: The Business Pillar of Suharto’s Indonesia,” says.

“There’s also good fiscal management, a plus for investors,” he adds. “Overall business competition has increased and monopoly power has diminished.”

The downside? Investors used to Singapore’s “benign smoothness” should be patient with the long time it can take to get things done in Indonesia.

“The bureaucracy can be daunting,” Borsuk adds, also explaining that—in Indonesia, as in much of Asia—relationships are key. His solution? Choose partners carefully, and build connections with them.

Recent Election

Subianto campaigned by pledging “continuity” with the policies of his predecessor, Joko (Jokowi) Widodo. One of Subianto’s programs is to give children from poorer families good nutrition to help them grow up healthy. “This will be very expensive to provide nationwide, but Prabowo is going to push it hard,” Borsuk says.

Indonesia’s previous regime also initiated an ambitious and costly plan to move the capital from Jakarta to a new site on Borneo. It remains uncertain whether Prabowo will prioritize this project.

Shalini Kamal Sharma has been doing business in Indonesia since 2004. “Through our company Formula One Furniche, we supply customized [furniture, fixtures, and equipment] to hotels, resorts, and service apartments worldwide, with a strong focus on sustainability,” she explains. “Indonesia is a substantial and growing market for us.”

Indonesia’s hospitality real estate sector is currently $2.1 billion. It’ll get to $3.65 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 12%, analysts say.

Sharma points to the active role of Jakarta in encouraging inward investment. “The government—through BKPM [the Ministry of Investment’s investment coordinating board]—is highly responsive to the business community. We have been invited by BKPM to look at specific opportunities, which is a major change and very encouraging.”

BKPM is the primary agency that supports foreign investors and acts as a bridge between investors and the government. “They engage with foreign investors and, as we have learned, are quite proactive in assisting potential investors,” she says.

In a country once lambasted for its challenging bureaucracy, she points to major changes here too. “Getting products through customs has become far easier of late,” she notes.

A Country Of Superlatives

Joel Shen, a lawyer based in Jakarta and Singapore, who heads Withersworldwide’s technology practice in Asia, boasts that “Indonesia is a country of superlatives and is an attractive investment destination with a number of very clear advantages.”

Indonesia, notwithstanding a contraction in its middle class, “is expected to be the third-largest contributor to the global middle class over the next decade, after only India and China,” he says.

Besides being the largest economy in Southeast Asia, it’s the region’s only country in the G20, making it hard to ignore.

In 2023, Indonesia joined the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which includes all 10 ASEAN countries, plus Australia, China, Japan, New Zealand, and South Korea. “RCEP is the world’s largest free trade agreement (FTA), covering about 30% of global GDP and nearly one-third of the global population,” Shen says.

Indonesia also produces home-grown commodities: from palm oil, an ingredient in many fast-moving consumer goods (i.e., foods, cosmetics, soaps, and biofuels); to nickel, which is essential in the production of electric-vehicle batteries.

Coupled with its ongoing infrastructure development and reforms to improve business, “Indonesia presents numerous opportunities for investors,” Shen says.

The Digital Upside

Beyond demographics and natural resources, Indonesia’s economy is rapidly transforming digitally, fueled by mobile-first consumers, according to Shen.

Google, Temasek, and Bain & Company, in their 2024 e-Conomy Southeast Asia report, named Indonesia the fastest-growing large internet market.

“Investing in Indonesia has indeed become more accessible due to a combination of regulatory reforms and digitalization,” says Shen. The Omnibus Law on Job Creation, for example, simplifies business licensing, reduces restrictions on foreign ownership, and improves what had been onerous tax and labor regulations.

There’s also the Risk-Based Online Single Submission system, an online platform that makes it easier for low-risk foreign investors to incorporate Indonesian companies and obtain business licenses.

Tax holidays, tax allowances, and other benefits are also available to encourage investment in sectors and regions prioritized by the government.

Sectors To Consider

Top sectors include e-commerce, fintech, IT, infrastructure (i.e., ports, roads, and renewable energy), manufacturing, electronics, auto and consumer goods.

Apple, Amazon Web Services, and Microsoft are making significant investments in manufacturing, cloud, and AI infrastructure, totaling $7.7 billion, with commitments spanning up to 2036.

“And don’t forget that with a burgeoning and aging population, you need health care and hospitals, as well as tourism, hospitality, and related services, particularly in destinations like Bali and Labuan Bajo,” suggests Shen.

There is also a growing population. By 2045, the World Bank expects 317 million people. MNC Kapital Indonesia CEO Yudi Hamka projects that per capita GDP will grow to $22,000 by 2040.

“Our activities span digital to banking, and in a country where there is 80% internet penetration—mostly run by mobile—we see a huge digital upside,” Hamka says. “On the banking side, the sheer number of unbanked is huge.”

World Bank 2021 data shows Indonesia as the world’s fourth-largest country of unbanked adults, at 97.7 million. “Financial services,” Hamka predicts, “will become a huge area of growth.”

As for why investors should look seriously at Indonesia, Hamka suggests: “First, diversify your Asia presence. Second, access the ASEAN and South Asian markets. Third, supplement your China operations in an era of increased risk. And, lastly, leverage attractive FTAs including the world’s largest—the RCEP.”

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World’s Best SME Banks 2025: Regional Winners https://gfmag.com/award/worlds-best-sme-banks-2025-regional-winners/ Fri, 01 Nov 2024 16:06:33 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=69141 Africa: UBA United Bank for Africa (UBA) is celebrating its 75th anniversary. Among its hallmarks is an unwavering commitment to driving the growth of small and midsize enterprises (SMEs) in Africa. For UBA—boasting $20 billion in assets, $454.2 million in pretax profits in 2023, and a presence in 20 markets on the continent and four Read more...

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Africa: UBA

United Bank for Africa (UBA) is celebrating its 75th anniversary. Among its hallmarks is an unwavering commitment to driving the growth of small and midsize enterprises (SMEs) in Africa.

For UBA—boasting $20 billion in assets, $454.2 million in pretax profits in 2023, and a presence in 20 markets on the continent and four global centers—empowering SMEs means fueling Africa’s economic development.

Its home market of Nigeria is a poster case. With a portfolio of over a million SME clients and a loan book of $90 million, the bank has been instrumental in ensuring that SMEs remain the engine of growth.

Last year, the bank set aside $6 billion to lend to SMEs in partnership with the Africa Continental Free Trade Area secretariat, a program to be implemented over three years. The partnership augments the bank’s defining strength: its ability to support intra-African trade and investments critical for SMEs’ growth.

To enhance convenience for SMEs, UBA has signed up to the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System. The bank also ensures easy transaction processing through its UBA Afritrade and UBA Connect.

UBA has also become a pacesetter in financing women-owned businesses, owing to its strong belief that women should not be left behind in Africa’s socioeconomic development. —John Njiraini

Asia-Pacific: DBS

In making this award, the Global Finance team notes DBS’ close focus on the specialized needs of SMEs—from the clarity of the CEO’s mission statement to the detailed structure and effectiveness of the bank’s SME products.

Outgoing DBS Group Chief Executive Piyush Gupta, who will step down in March 2025, has acknowledged that banks worldwide underserve SMEs. Under his guidance, DBS has worked to rectify this failure.

Together with Enterprise Singapore, DBS launched the ESG Ready Programme, an end-to-end program that aims to help local businesses—especially SMEs—become future-ready by building capability and capacity in sustainability. Participating companies can access a panel of sustainability specialists to guide them on their respective sustainability journeys.

“Banks have not thought enough about the battleground of tomorrow,” said Gupta in a 2015 interview with the National University of Singapore’s Business School. “But it is changing—in the last two years, digitization has now become the No. 1 agenda for most banking CEOs.”

Before the pandemic, DBS had relentlessly leveraged emerging technologies to help SMEs, especially micro and small enterprises, streamline services and manage credit risk. Digital payments, online banking, and blockchain technology emerged and became established during Gupta’s tenure, emphasizing SMEs.

The judges noticed that DBS had developed algorithmic models powered by artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced data analytics to alert the bank to signs of potential trouble SME customers might face, substantially reducing insolvency risk.         —Simon Littlewood

Caribbean: Banreservas

In operation for over 80 years, Banreservas offers more than 315 physical service centers in the Dominican Republic—including traditional bank branches, mini branches, and mobile branches—along with roughly 1,900 ATMs. SMEs account for 16% of the bank’s business, or approximately $1.5 billion, giving Banreservas a 28% market share.

Banreservas offers its roughly 130,000 SME clients a broad array of financial services. Fomenta Pymes (“Promotes SMEs”) is a bank program providing small businesses access to financing products, credit cards, management services, payroll services, and other benefits. Special events include monthslong “loan fairs” through which SMEs shop for financing. In its 2024 iteration, the Banreservas loan-fair program disbursed 5,800 loans, totaling about $238.5 million. These were given to SMEs working in multiple sectors: tourism, construction, commerce, education, healthcare, social services, industry, agriculture, and livestock, among others.

Additional bank offerings include Programa Preserva, a workshop-based program that promotes economic security through saving. Programa Coopera, meanwhile, promotes the Dominican Republic’s socioeconomic development through financial support of businesses throughout the country, including those located in economically vulnerable areas.   —Laura Spinale

Central America: Banorte

SMEs contribute 15% to Grupo Financiero Banorte’s loan portfolio. The financial institution works to better serve that market through an SME expansion plan instituted over the past year. As part of this program, Banorte has focused on increasing its SME offerings to include a full suite of tailored financial products and services. These include various loan types, business advisory services, tax advisory services, and strategic alliances with companies offering products and services of value to the SME market.

Credit is a significant part of the SME expansion plan; and the bank has instituted a new pricing structure, providing credit conditions more favorable to clients. SMEs qualify for these rates through an application process that provides a more holistic view of each SME applying. Available SME financing products include working capital loans, equipment financing, expansion loans, and lines of credit. One of these, Mujer PyME, is a credit facility targeted to women-led SMEs.

Additional advancements include the integration of biometric signatures in branches and a time-saver for account openings.          —LS

Central And Eastern Europe: MAIB

Located in Moldova, MAIB is this year’s regional winner for Central and Eastern Europe. As the country’s largest commercial bank and lender, MAIB has almost 37,000 active customers, an increase of about 13% year-over-year (YoY); and it captures approximately 43% of all newly registered companies in Moldova. MAIB has continued to consolidate its position within the SME sector—about 6,000 companies, primarily within IT, winemaking, and food industries—earning the bank an approximately 37% market share. Despite challenging economic conditions, various strategic efforts have helped the bank achieve record growth within its SME business unit

The bank leverages a customer-centric approach by using feedback to tailor products and services to SMEs. MAIB also emphasizes data-driven decisions, which have helped the bank maintain a profitable loan portfolio despite a declining demand for loans among SMEs, fluctuating grain prices resulting from regional conflicts and weather conditions, and falling interest rates.

To help attract SME customers, MAIB launched internet and mobile banking solutions. The bank created its Business Banking Customer Care Service, which has a dedicated line for SME support and specialists who can resolve customer issues. MAIB’s products and services include night and weekend payments, remote onboarding, factoring, and digital signatures on credit contracts.

The bank has partnered with over 150 companies that sell their products, such as agricultural machinery, photovoltaic panels, and cars, through loans that MAIB originates. The bank is also the first in Moldova to offer consulting services to its customers in accounting, business, and human resources.        —Andrea Murad

Latin America: BTG Pactual Empresas

BTG Pactual Empresas’ SME lending portfolio reached 22.1 billion Brazilian reais (approximately $3.9 billion) in the first quarter of 2024, with its SME credit book growing 52% YoY. SME business now accounts for 12% of BTG Pactual’s total portfolio.

The bank attributes its SME growth in part to its digital capabilities. Its digital platform offers a complete, integrated portfolio of SME products and services—providing access to the bank’s credit, guarantees, insurance, investments, foreign exchange, and derivatives products. Associated services accessible via the platform include creation of invoices payable by QR code; online invoicing; instant electronic bank transfers; open banking; payments to suppliers, tax authorities, and utilities; budgeting and categorized spending services; digital receipts; and other capabilities. The platform offers more than 45 integrations, including Telegram and Google Workspace, along with an extensive range of productivity improvement products.

Speed is a crucial platform benefit. According to the bank, the platform enables the bank to disburse 95% of its loan funds in less than 10 minutes, 16 times faster than its competitors.

Agriculture is a big part of the Brazilian economy, and BTG Pactual Empresas offers services tailored to this sector. These include credit lines for agricultural products (fertilizers, pesticides, seeds); equipment financing; and infrastructure financing for the construction of silos, warehouses, and other facilities.

Activities addressing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues are also important to BTG Pactual. Of its loans to corporations and SMEs, 72% are subjected to social, environmental, and climate-risk analysis, in line with international best practices. R$8.9 billion of its lending portfolio aligns with the bank’s sustainable financing framework.          —LS

Middle East: Bahrain Development Bank

Founded in 1992 by the Bahraini government, Bahrain Development Bank (BDB) is part of that country’s efforts to diversify its economy into non-oil-producing sectors. SMEs are vital to those efforts. BDB strives to support entrepreneurs and SMEs through loans, financing, and advisory and mentorship programs and conferences tailored to the SME market.

The bank offers financial products for various types of SME businesses, including agriculture and fisheries, manufacturing, education, health-care, tourism, and transportation companies. It also provides financial services targeted to women. Over the last several years, the bank has invested in digital transformation. One result of that is tijara, BDB’s digital banking arm. This platform offers SMEs quick access to financing and efficient processing of business transactions, salary transfers, and other payment services.          —LS

North America: Royal Bank of Canada

In September, the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) released its annual small-business poll. Results indicate that 51% of Canadians are considering starting a businesses. RBC wants to help them.

The bank operates in more than 30 countries and serves more than 17 million clients worldwide. As of 2023, it had about CA$3.6 trillion (approximately $2.6 trillion) in assets and over 91,000 employees. To improve the customer experience, RBC has invested heavily in digital banking and AI technologies.

RBC strives to support SMEs at every stage. The bank offers various financing and loan options for SMEs, including unsecured and operating lines of credit. It also administers Canada Small Business Financing Loans. Special programs target Black entrepreneurs.

A knowledge base on the bank’s website instructs would-be entrepreneurs at the very earliest business stages. Guides for starting a business, validating ideas, creating business plans, determining startup costs, choosing a business structure, and exploring business financing are available.

Beyond typical banking, RBC also offers several business services, mostly digitized. In the field of payment processing, it offers medical billing software for hospitals and clinics, point-of-service systems, and services enabling merchants to offer buy now, pay later options to their clients. Marketing services help SMEs explore consumer spending patterns, find clients, and embark on global trade. The bank offers a host of payroll and HR solutions. Operations services help entrepreneurs register and incorporate online, protect businesses against cyber threats, automate accounts payable, and perform other tasks.       —LS

Western Europe: Santander

Headquartered in Spain and with operations throughout Western Europe, Santander is named as the best bank for SMEs in Western Europe for the third year in a row. The bank has a wide range of targeted products and services to meet the needs of its customers, which include 114,000 SMEs that make up over 91% of corporate customers and over 95% of digital customers in Portugal.

Through its platform, Santander X, the bank has helped over 7,000 SMEs scale their businesses through training, advice, and other resources. The platform’s training enables SMEs to create a digital presence, expand domestically and internationally, and grow and maintain their workforce. Companies can also participate in competitions for cash prizes and other awards. In addition, this platform creates a global networking community for SMEs to connect with other businesses, providing discounted third-party resources and services.

Through various initiatives, Santander supports SMEs looking to expand abroad. Through the Santander Trade platform, SMEs can analyze different international markets, find international business partners, and support shipments overseas; while the Santander Trade Club helps SMEs find new distributors and suppliers. The bank’s “One Europe” strategy helps identify good practices in other countries—practices that can then be implemented domestically.

The bank develops products and services with the customer in mind, through engagement and solicitation of feedback. The result is personalized products across digital channels and enhanced user experiences.  —AM

Best SME Bank Awards 2025
Regional Awards
AfricaUBA
Asia-PacificDBS
CaribbeanBanreservas
Central AmericaBanorte
Central & Eastern EuropeMAIB
Latin AmericaBTG Pactual Empresas
Middle EastBahrain Development Bank
North AmericaRoyal Bank of Canada
Western EuropeSantander
US Regional Winners
Mid-AtlanticFirst National Bank
MidwestHuntington National Bank
NortheastCitizens Bank
SoutheastRegions Bank
SouthwestU.S. Bank
WestUmpqua

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Bhutan: The Happiness Economy https://gfmag.com/emerging-frontier-markets/bhutan-economy-happiness/ Sun, 06 Oct 2024 17:21:29 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=68698 Bhutan is banking on a unique mix of abundant energy, a clean environment, and wellness entrepreneurism to lure foreign investors. A constitutional monarchy of 800,000 people, Bhutan is nestled in a region that’s home to nearly 3 billion. Bordered by China to the north and India to the east, west and south, the Himalayan nation Read more...

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Bhutan is banking on a unique mix of abundant energy, a clean environment, and wellness entrepreneurism to lure foreign investors.

A constitutional monarchy of 800,000 people, Bhutan is nestled in a region that’s home to nearly 3 billion. Bordered by China to the north and India to the east, west and south, the Himalayan nation installed a new government in January under Prime Minister Tshering Tobgay, who returned to office after an earlier five-year stint that ended in 2018.

Tobgay takes over at a time when Bhutan is appealing to foreign investors on the strength of its nearly pristine environment and absence of pollution, a possible pointer to what a global economy could look like free of chemicals and driven by sustainable energy.

The message appears to be getting through. The Asian Development Bank forecasts GDP growth of 4.4% this year for the kingdom, driven mainly by services, and a dramatic acceleration to 7% in 2025, when a major hydroelectric plant is due to come onstream. The International Monetary Fund predicts that growth will accelerate over the medium term, boosted by large hydro projects, higher capital spending, and a slowdown in emigration.

Vital Statistics
Location: South Asia
Neighbors: India, China
Capital city: Thimpu
Population (2023): 884,546
Official language: English
GDP: $10.981 billion (2022 est.), $10.437 billion (2021 est.), $9.995 billion (2020 est.)
Inflation (2022): 1.23% (est.)
Unemployment rate (Feb. 2023): 0.88%
Currency: Bhutanese Ngultrum, Indian rupee
Base interest rate: 6.8%
Investment promotion agency: Bhutan Chamber of Commerce & Industry
Investment incentives: Tax holiday of five to 10 years, sales tax and customs duty exemption on import of plant, machinery, and raw materials, 10-year tax exemption on convertible currency earnings from manufacturing and IT/ITES, 15% tax rebate on environmental uprades, reinvestment allowance.
Political risks: China encroachment
Security risks: Bhutan generally has cordial relations with China
PROS
Constitutional monarchy since 2008
English widely spoken
Recent general election: all parties stressing FDI and economic growth
Strong relations with India
Abundant and cheap hydropower
Fiscal incentives for business
CONS
Underdeveloped infrastructure, but improving
Small labor force
Complex approval process
Proximity to China

Sources: CIA Fact Book, BBC, Bhutan CCI, World Bank.

For more information about Bhutan, click here to read Global Finance’s country report page.

Gross National Happiness

“Bhutan is not only focused on economic growth but also on maintaining harmony with nature and its people,” says Aum Phub Zam Bhutan, president of Yarkay Group, a leading diversified Bhutanese company and, earlier, the first woman to serve as president of Bhutan’s Chamber of Commerce (BCCI). In 1972, the kingdom adopted a governing philosophy of “Gross National Happiness” with four pillars: sustainable and equitable socioeconomic development, environmental conservation, preservation and promotion of culture, and good governance. Today, government and leading figures in the private sector see this as a formula for economic development as well.

“Our commitment to Gross National Happiness marries sustainable development, cultural preservation, environmental conservation, and good governance,” says Zam, “making Bhutan a unique investment destination.”

Wellness tourism—vacation travel to destinations that promise to help control stress and promote a healthy lifestyle—is a key focus area. The sector reached an impressive $5.6 trillion worldwide in 2022, according to the 2023 Global Wellness Economy Monitor report, which predicted it will enjoy a compound annual growth rate of 8.6% over the next five years.

“We think Bhutan will emerge as a prime destination for wellness tourism, and our new government now seeks foreign direct investment quite aggressively,” says Zam. “Last week, investors were invited to a gala dinner in Bangkok, Thailand by [software maker] FBX Group in honor of our prime minister, and on October 3 we are holding an investment forum here in Bhutan.” The hotel sector today accounts for 43% of the kingdom’s total active FDI projects, driven by international chains including Aman, Como, Six Sense, and Le Meridian.

“We emphasize green projects and a pollution-free environment,” says Tandy Wangchuk, current president of the Bhutan Chamber of Commerce and Industry. “In our thirteenth five-year plan, we have targeted $6 billion of FDI.”

The government’s FDI policy supports that goal. Bhutan now allows foreign investors to repatriate dividends, and the limit on leases of state land was extended this year from 30 years to 99.

“Depending on the nature of your project, you can establish a foreign-owned entity without a local partner, and we now encourage investors to bring their families to Bhutan,” says Tandy.

Education and high-end hotels are a priority, but industrial parks are also sprouting in the kingdom, especially in the south bordering India, which has plentiful hydroelectric power to support heavy industry. 

“Abundant energy enables a variety of industries, including bitcoin mining, IT data science, and call centers as well as cement, steel, and ferrous alloy production,” Tandy notes.

In a sign of increased interest in Bhutan, Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam recently hosted Tobgay, saying, “Bhutan is home to stunning natural landscapes and immense biodiversity, from the subtropical to alpine. Because forests cover 72% of its land, Bhutan is one of the very few countries in the world that absorbs more carbon dioxide than it produces; in other words, it’s carbon negative.” Bhutan is also able to export most of the renewable hydroelectric power it generates from its rivers.

Hazel Nuts, Coffee, No Crime

Sean Philip Watson, CEO and founder of Mountain Hazelnut Company, has been building business in Bhutan for 14 years.

“Bhutan is at the nexus of a triple bottom line—social, environmental, and economic—driven by a unique vision of Gross National Happiness,” he says. Watson has a long history working in emerging markets, notably with H.J. Heinz on the sustainability of its China tomato production, where an industry with millions of growers and 30 factories was automated under his guidance.

“Bhutan is one of the last clean places on the planet: Shangri-La,” he says.

The kingdom’s agriculture sector is now executing a strategic shift toward commercialization; it employs 43.5% of the workforce, accounting for 14.9% of GDP in 2023.

Watson says, “The Bhutan model, properly adopted, may provide the world with a compelling example of how to skip from a medieval past to an ecologically balanced future, while avoiding a polluting industrial age and massive urban migration.”

Fine food could be one component of that formula, he adds, but “we need agricultural investors who believe in this space,” which could include exports like trout, caviar, berries, buckwheat, quinoa, turmeric, ginger, and dairy products.

“As a further incentive, there is no crime, no corruption, rapidly improving infrastructure, abundant clean energy, and English is widely spoken,” Watson notes.

Coffee, Anyone?

David Mathews came to Bhutan five years ago after a career at Jardine Matheson and Robert Fleming that included a long stint in China.

“We have land at 4,000 feet in southern Bhutan to grow coffee at the same altitude it’s grown in Sikkim and India,” he says. “We want our beans to be as pure as possible and a unique Bhutan brand. After coffee, we see opportunities for scents and flavorings grown on the hills. Again, purity is a major selling point.”

The nation is learning from other, fully industrialized countries’ experience, Mathews says, “The Bhutanese have seen the ecological harm caused by industrial development elsewhere. Bhutan is a pristine and unpolluted place. Increasingly, this is attractive to discerning Western investors.”

Time will tell whether Bhutan’s model of Gross National Happiness, including clean and unpolluted food sourcing and zero carbon, will catch on. But Mathews is optimistic.

“We believe that increasingly, consumers will start to see Bhutan as a source of top-quality unpolluted foodstuffs, and our coffee will meet that market,” he predicts. “Worldwide, consumers increasingly want clean food, and Bhutan furnishes a compelling model.”

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ASEAN Girds For Growth https://gfmag.com/economics-policy-regulation/asean-growth-challenge-china/ Fri, 07 Jun 2024 09:37:49 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=67786 Southeast Asia’s rapidly expanding economy is attracting foreign investors and new commitments from global corporations. Can it challenge China in its own region? “ASEAN is a bright spot,” says Federico Burgoni, head of Group Strategy and Transformation at Singapore’s United Overseas Bank. Founded as a five-nation political and economic community in 1967, the Association of Read more...

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Southeast Asia’s rapidly expanding economy is attracting foreign investors and new commitments from global corporations. Can it challenge China in its own region?

“ASEAN is a bright spot,” says Federico Burgoni, head of Group Strategy and Transformation at Singapore’s United Overseas Bank.

Founded as a five-nation political and economic community in 1967, the Association of South-East Asian Nations today counts 10 countries and 647 million people under its umbrella, boasting a 2023 GDP of $2.9 trillion. It is also the US’s fourth-largest trading partner; thanks in part to the cooling of economic relations between Washington and Beijing, foreign direct investment into ASEAN hit $224 billion in 2022, with the US being the largest investor.

There have been growing pains; plans to create an integrated, tariff-free common market by 2025 have been hampered by domestic protectionism and, more recently, the Covid-19 pandemic. But experienced Southeast Asia hands express optimism.

“ASEAN is backed by strong fundamentals, including a young population, a dynamic labor force and rising foreign direct investment,” says Burgoni. Total FDI for the region hit $228.9 billion in 2023, almost doubling the 2015 take of $118.7 billion.

Burgoni expects growth in the region to remain strong owing to a benign combination of domestic demand, moderating inflation, and increasing inward trade and investment flows.

“Yes, there are some geopolitical risks [US sanctions from Trump, a war in Taiwan, etc.], but in Asia we think Southeast Asia is the bright spot,” he says. “ASEAN is one of the fastest-growing trade blocs and is now seen as a production base and a growing consumer market to both the West and to China.” That stands in contrast to China and many Western economies.

By 2030, 65% of a projected population of 750 million is expected to be middle class, based in part on resilient internal demand. Crucially, countries like Malaysia and Indonesia are rich in oil and minerals of all kinds.

But tech investors are eyeing the region as well.

Big Tech Players Expand Operations

“There is no ASIA—but there is, increasingly, an ASEAN,” says Bill Padfield.

Padfield is a tech veteran and founding CEO of Salamander Advisory, a consultant to early-stage tech companies. A global technology and business leader in the region for over three decades, he was formerly global senior vice president of Transformation at NTT, and before that chairman and CEO of Dimension Data Asia Pacific and CEO of SGX-listed Datacraft Asia. He also helped lead Equant, now Orange Business Services, to a successful simultaneous IPO on the New York Stock Exchange and the Paris Bourse.

“Although it’s not one trading block, ASEAN is actively learning from Europe’s errors,” says Padfield. Pressing on too quickly with regulatory and economic integration creates political opposition—national sensibilities need to be respected.

Major tech players including Google, Amazon and NTT have set up operations in the region. Global Foundries last year completed a $4 billion expansion of its microchip facilities in Singapore, and Nvidia and AMD are eyeing the region’s artificial intelligence potential.

“Notably, investment in the electric vehicle sector soared to $18.1 billion in 2022,” Padfield adds, “marking a 570% increase from 2021’s $2.7 billion.”

Federico Burgoni, Head of Group Strategy and Transformation at Singapore’s UOB.

In a sign of how the global investment community views Singapore as a financial and tech powerhouse, the London Stock Exchange now has 350 full time employees there.

“Amazingly, we calculate that there are more than 400 venture capital funds registered in Singapore with $8 billion in funds,” says Padfield, “and more than 4,000 tech startups already active.”

Collectively, Apple, Microsoft, and Invidia have committed billions of dollars in investment to the ASEAN economies, he adds, and their CEOs have all been “hobnobbing with heads of state from Indonesia to Malaysia,” he notes.

Singapore was in the spotlight last month when Amazon took over a giant venue in the city-state to unfurl a fresh $9 billion investment plan. In Malaysia’s Johor Bahru, which adjoins Singapore, Nvidia teamed up with a local operator last year to build a $4.3 billion AI data-center park. CEO Jensen Huang was been seen in Vietnam enjoying street food and is rumored to be reviewing Hanoi and Da Nang as possible centers for future investment.

Hoping to build on Big Tech’s interest, ASEAN is currently hammering out an ASEAN Digital Economic Framework Agreement (DEFA), the first of its kind worldwide, which is projected to triple the region’s digital economy from $300 billion today to almost $1 trillion by 2030. Progressive rules (like the greater deregulation, the faster the growth) in the DEFA would double this value contribution, unlocking $2 trillion to the region’s digital economy.

 “I think you can honestly say that the days of playing second fiddle to China are well and truly over,” Padfield concludes.

AI will play a big role in that shift, says consultant Kearney, which estimates that AI adoption could add $1 trillion to the ASEAN economy by 2030. A specific catalyst will be generative AI, adds Tony Nash, a long-term resident of the region and a former adviser to the Chinese government on its global Belt and Road Initiative who founded Complete Intelligence, which provides AI-driven forecasting to major companies in Asia and worldwide.

Much will depend, however, on the region’s ability to further integrate.

Tony Nash, Founder of Complete Intelligence

“ASEAN consists of about a dozen politically, culturally, and geographically disparate countries,” Nash notes. “While progress has been made, stubborn protectionist tendencies and conflicting national interests continue to impede the full realization of this ambition.”

That said, “there are continuing indications that ASEAN is benefiting from the cracks in China’s economic armor,” he adds. As tensions with the West persist and concerns over supply chain dependencies grow, multinational corporations continue to diversify their operations into Southeast Asia.

“Vietnam, in particular, has emerged as a manufacturing hub,” says Nash, “luring investments that might have previously favored the Middle Kingdom. And the tech majors are embracing the region’s low-cost but technically savvy workforce.”

Acutely exposed to climate change, ASEAN has also been forward-looking in its efforts to decarbonize its economy.

Initiatives such as the ASEAN Strategy for Carbon Neutrality, the Framework for Circular Economy, and the ASEAN Blue Economy Framework aim to help the region transition to a green economy while creating significant economic value-add. Malaysia and Thailand are pulling in renewable investments, often in partnership with leading Chinese tech suppliers seeking to escape onerous US tariffs on exports from the mainland.

As Seen From The US

From a US investor’s perspective, ASEAN’s selling points are manifold. “The region boasts a burgeoning middle class, abundant natural resources and a strategic geographic position astride vital trade routes,” says Nash. Its relative political stability and pro-business policies could prove alluring, especially as the world grapples with an increasingly fragmented economic order.

Close observers also generally agree that Singapore’s status as Southeast Asia’s preeminent financial hub is assured, at least for the foreseeable future.

“The city-state’s impressive economic dynamism, robust legal framework and business-friendly policies have solidified its position as a gateway to the region,” says Nash. But it has equally savvy neighbors.

“Upstart challengers like Jakarta and Kuala Lumpur are keen to emulate Singapore’s success,” Nash adds, “capitalizing on their own strategic advantages, which include a scale that Singapore lacks and the insatiable appetite for capital across ASEAN’s economies. Prudent due diligence, selective local partnerships and a long-term outlook are prerequisites for success in this complex yet immensely promising region.”

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Indonesia: New President’s Past Raises Questions https://gfmag.com/economics-policy-regulation/indonesia-president-prabowo-subianto/ Sat, 02 Mar 2024 23:43:20 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=66849 Prabowo Subianto, a former army general with a controversial past and minister of defence in the current administration, has been elected president of Indonesia. This was his third presidential run. Prabowo holds the dubious distinction of having been banned from entering the US due to allegations of atrocities in East Timor, a ban only lifted Read more...

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Prabowo Subianto, a former army general with a controversial past and minister of defence in the current administration, has been elected president of Indonesia.

This was his third presidential run.

Prabowo holds the dubious distinction of having been banned from entering the US due to allegations of atrocities in East Timor, a ban only lifted in 2020.

He will assume the presidency at what would otherwise be a propitious time. With 274 million people and a 2022 GDP of $1.2 trillion, Indonesia became an attractive target for foreign investors during current president Joko Widodo’s two terms. But he brings a mixed legacy to the post.

“Prabowo is a product of the Suharto era,” says Maria Monica Wihadja, visiting fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute and professor at the National University of Singapore.

Despite being Suharto’s son-in-law, he was rumored to have engineered the 1998 riots that ousted the long-time dictator. Wihadja is concerned whether Prabowo will stick with the reform model that has made Indonesia attractive to investors.

“Continued investment relies on institutions and institutional continuity” she says. “Prabowo has in the past campaigned for an end to term limits, for example.”

Southeast Asia’s largest economy has seen strong growth since the Covid pandemic, particularly as investment in its nickel processing industry booms.

GDP grew 5.3% in 2022, supported by domestic consumption and further bolstered by the commodity exports as global prices of coal, palm oil, and iron have rallied. Indonesia also captured $43 billion in FDI in 2022, the highest total in the country’s history.

Leadership questions are especially timely given that OECD accession is on the agenda.

“Indonesia’s application is the first from Southeast Asia, one of the most dynamic growth regions of the world,” notes OECD Secretary-General Mathias Cormann. “As the largest economy in Southeast Asia and the world’s third largest democracy, Indonesia is a significant global player, providing important leadership across the region and beyond.”

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World’s Best SME Banks 2024—Regional Winners https://gfmag.com/banking/worlds-best-sme-banks-2024-regional-winners/ Fri, 01 Dec 2023 19:17:21 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=65856 Africa: Ecobank Lack of access to finance has typically been the key challenge facing African SMEs. However, limited access to markets is emerging as a much bigger problem. For a majority, operations are constrained in their home markets. Due to factors like different regulatory frameworks, tariff and nontariff barriers and multiple taxation regimes, among others, Read more...

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Africa: Ecobank

Lack of access to finance has typically been the key challenge facing African SMEs. However, limited access to markets is emerging as a much bigger problem.

For a majority, operations are constrained in their home markets. Due to factors like different regulatory frameworks, tariff and nontariff barriers and multiple taxation regimes, among others, only some venture beyond their borders.

The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) promises to be a game changer for SMEs. The agreement is expected to increase intra-African exports by more than 80%.

Ecobank, the winner as Best SME Bank in Africa, is positioning itself as the ideal partner for SMEs to exploit AfCFTA opportunities through access to new markets, negotiation of logistical hurdles and scaling of operations. The bank’s Pan-African footprint makes it a natural fit for intra-African trade.

This year, Ecobank has launched the Single Market Trade Hub. “The hub will help SMEs access new markets,” says Carol Oyedeji, Ecobank’s acting group executive for Commercial Banking.

She adds that besides being an information repository about AfCFTA, the hub is a marketplace for businesses offering access to a full range of financial products and solutions such as trade finance, cash management, working capital and advisory.

The hub and the bank’s RapidCollect regional collection offering eliminate obstacles to cross-border operations. In 2022, when it was launched, RapidCollect achieved transaction volumes amounting to $431 million in its first year.

These interventions and offerings put the bank that operates across 33 markets at the heart of SMEs’ success in Africa.          —John Njiraini

Asia-Pacific: OCBC

Singapore-headquartered Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) has won accolades as 2024’s Best SME Bank in the Asia-Pacific region for its creative and enthusiastic support of SME clients during torrid times and for impressive digital innovation.

The bank works with 130,000 SMEs in Singapore alone—an estimated 50% of all SMEs.

OCBC also has been successful in accelerating sustainability efforts—achieving carbon neutrality on operations during 2022, with $10 billion in new sustainable finance investment in energy-efficient technology across Singapore, Malaysia and Greater China as part of an industry-leading target of $50 billion by 2025.

The bank scored very highly on its aggressive digitization of core operations with an investment of $250 million as the first part of the “digital core roadmap,” refreshing key channel systems across markets to enable faster rollout of digital features. These include client personalization capabilities driven by innovative artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning.

Personal portfolios in Southeast Asia are far more likely to include nonfungible tokens (NFTs) than in Europe or the US, mainly due to the young demographic of the newly wealthy. In the fast-growing world of digital assets, and in conjunction with the bank’s 90th anniversary, OCBC minted its first NFT for staff  in late 2022 on the bank’s in-house blockchain platform. This was given to staff to commemorate the special occasion.

The bank increased total income by $11.7 billion in 2022 and grew shareholder returns by an eye-watering 18% during this torrid period—a nearly 60% increase in 2020.     —Simon Littlewood

Caribbean: Banreservas

Banreservas, in operation since 1941, strives to serve the SME  segment and won this year’s Best SME Bank in the Caribbean. It has a 23% share of the SME market, which represents 14% of the bank’s total business—contributing $1.23 billion to the bank’s $8.54 billion portfolio. From April 2022 to March 2023, the bank issued 21,091 loans to 15,066 SMEs, totaling $648.5 million.

Significant SME programs include Fomenta Pymes Banreservas and subofferings such as Programa Preserva, Programa Coopera and Programa Prospera.

Fomenta Pymes (“Promotes SMEs”) is a comprehensive suite of financial offerings designed to meet SMEs’ growth needs. It provides financing facilities, credit cards and free management and payroll services. It also sponsors programs to promote financial education, entrepreneurship and economic development.

Programa Preserva promotes a savings culture for sustainable economic well-being, providing financial education workshops. Programa Coopera promotes social projects to produce goods and services in economically vulnerable communities. During 2022, this program assisted 457 groups in starting business co-ops. Programa Prospera works to provide technical advice, financial services, and risk management to organizations that strive to facilitate new business development. —Laura Spinale

Central America: BAC Credomatic 

Headquartered in Costa Rica, BAC Credomatic brings SME services throughout Central America, including Costa Rica, Honduras, Guatemala and Panama. Founded in 1952, the bank now serves 4.2 million clients, 1.9 million of whom use the company’s digital banking platform. Its SME client base consists of about 260,000 businesses. Its digital offerings include payroll services, supplier payment services, tax help, exporting help and international payment capabilities.

Financing for SMEs runs from standard business loans to more-specific offerings. The bank also provides development financing for technically and financially viable business projects.   — LS

Central and Eastern Europe: ČSOB

The winner as Best SME Bank in Central and Eastern Europe is Československá obchodní banka (ČSOB), which has successfully grown its SME portfolio and customer base despite the high interest-rate environment. The bank has about 140,000 SME clients, and SME loans compose about 11% of its portfolio. Customer growth resulted partly from the bank’s new digital onboarding services, a vital part of the customer-centric business model.

ČSOB has focused on developing deep relationships with SMEs and broad product portfolios while becoming a leader in sustainability practices. The bank’s portfolio of digitized products includes solutions for lending, banking, financial markets and trade finance that SMEs can access through various apps.

The bank also strongly focuses on digitization and has created a virtual branch in its mobile app to help SMEs easily access its products and services. With the bank’s digitization effort, SMEs can use data for peer benchmarking, market analysis and industrial insights.

In 2020, ČSOB introduced a digital assistant, “Kate,” which uses artificial intelligence (AI) and data to help SMEs self-service in the bank’s digital channels so customers can better address their needs. More than 90% of customers are eligible to use the digital branch. ČSOB has recently introduced functionality that calculates and offsets an SME’s carbon footprint.

To help SMEs transition toward sustainability, ČSOB partnered with Green0meter, an environmental, social and governance (ESG) data platform that assists in reporting. This partnership will help SMEs meet the EU’s changing ESG requirements more efficiently while providing an ESG marketplace.          —Andrea Murad

Latin America: BTG Pactual Empresas

BTG Pactual Empresas marches toward the future bit by bit and byte by byte. It metamorphosed into a fully digital bank in late 2021, designed to serve business customers better. As a result, it now provides SMEs with a “variety of quality products and services with low service cost and less bureaucracy.” Businesses have responded favorably. The bank’s business loan portfolio has increased an astonishing 227% from 2019, to 143 billion Brazilian reais (about $29 billion). SME loans represent about 10% of that total, including lending solutions for rural credit needs and solar financing. BTG Pactual Empresas also provides client advisory services for ESG agendas.

The digital bank’s platform, which is available online and from app stores for iOS and Android, enables speedy service. For example, more than 99% of new customers have fully functional accounts within an hour of signing up.

The platform also offers digitized services that have been developed to support SMEs and other businesses. These include open banking (enabling users to manage all accounts, regardless of bank, in one place), multiuser accounts, online invoicing, payroll processing, collection management, foreign currency exchange, and a host of other services. All told, SMEs can choose from more than 30 business automations—including those available through Google Workspace. Live customer support is available 24/7 via the user’s channel of choice (chat, WhatsApp, email or phone). When users need actual paper money, bank partnerships enable fee-free withdrawals from a broad network of ATMs. —LS

Middle East: Arab Bank 

At Arab Bank in Jordan, SME business accounts for nearly 12% of the total portfolio. As of June, the bank had a total SME loan value of $824 million, including $165 million in loans issued between the first quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023. A staff of 35 dedicated employees serves more than 12,000 SME customers—representing a 12.6% share of the SME market in Jordan—through 21 dedicated SME centers. Other support channels include a 24/7 customer care center and digital platforms.

While the bank serves an extensive range of SMEs, it mainly targets businesses in the medical, professional, training and recreation, beauty and wellness, and retail sectors—along with home-based businesses led by female entrepreneurs. These and other SMEs turn to Arab Bank for a broad array of financing capabilities, including financing against point-of-sale proceeds, medical loans, vehicle loans, revolving lines of credit and trade finance products.

Arab Bank is also active on the digital front. Its Arabi Next mobile application, launched in 2022, was developed specifically to meet the needs of Jordanian SMEs. Its features include self-registration, a dashboard displaying company accounts, bill management capabilities, funds transfer services, document retrieval, salary management and cardless ATM withdrawals. A payment gateway enables SMEs to accept credit and debit cards and Apple Pay and Android Pay payments. The Arabi E-Mart platform enables SMEs to sell products and services online, while Arabi Shopix helps SMEs build their websites. Another significant digital offering is the bank’s supply chain financing platform. It helps SMEs optimize cash flow by empowering them to pay their suppliers early with Arab Bank financing.          —LS

North America: Royal Bank of Canada

With more than 17 million customers and employing more than 89,000 people, the Royal Bank of Canada is a multinational financial services organization with more than 1,200 branches—one of Canada’s largest banks. It offers SMEs a broad range of “lending, leasing, deposit, investment, foreign exchange, cash management, auto dealer financing, trade products, and services,” along with digital cross-border banking solutions, according to the bank.

In 2022, it granted more than $12.6 billion Canadian dollars (about $8.8 billion) in small-business loans. Its digital platform includes SME services for marketing, payments, payroll and business operations. Among these services is Ownr, a platform that helps entrepreneurs start, manage and grow their businesses. RBC Insight Edge, meanwhile, is a business dashboard offering data-driven insights to help businesses make more informed decisions about their customers and markets. It employs anonymized credit and debit card information, combined with demographic and location data, to offer business owners improved insight into the markets in which they operate.

—LS

Western Europe: Santander

For the second year in a row, Santander was chosen as the top SME bank for Western Europe. With offices in Spain, the UK and Portugal, it provides financial products and services to more than 4 million SMEs worldwide. SMEs are one of the bank’s largest customer segments, composing over 90% of the bank’s corporate customers in Portugal. The bank focuses on international trade, green finance and education to help SMEs prosper.

The bank has established platforms and programs to enable SMEs to develop an international presence. Santander Trade provides information on global markets for trade finance, and Santander Trade Club matches companies with an import or export counterpart. The bank replicates best practices across its European footprint through its One Europe strategy.

Santander provides green-finance and sustainability offerings  as clients transition to a low-carbon economy. These include financial products for purchasing, constructing and renovating green buildings and developing sustainable and protected agriculture. The bank also assists companies with renewable energy initiatives by financing renewable-power and low-carbon infrastructures.

With Santander X, the bank provides resources and training so that SMEs can scale and help communities prosper. Santander has specific tools to assist SMEs, like Santander X Explorer, a preincubation program that works with SMEs as they transform ideas into value propositions and sustainable businesses; and Santander X Launch, which helps SMEs bring that project to market and raise capital.    —AM

Best SME Bank Awards 2024
Regional Winners
Africa Ecobank 
Asia-Pacific OCBC 
Caribbean Banreservas 
Central America BAC Credomatic 
Central & Eastern Europe CSOB 
Latin America BTG Pactual Empresas 
Middle East Arab Bank 
North America Royal Bank of Canada 
Western Europe             Santander
US Regional Winners
Mid-Atlantic PNC Bank 
Midwest Huntington National 
Northeast Citizens Bank 
Southeast First Citizens Bank 
Southwest Frost Bank 
West Citizens Business Bank

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World’s Best SME Banks 2024—Global Winners https://gfmag.com/banking/worlds-best-sme-banks-2024-global-winners/ Fri, 01 Dec 2023 17:55:53 +0000 https://gfmag.com/?p=65855 Unlocking the hidden value of their numbers is the next step for SMEs. As the global economy continues to limp along, small and midsize enterprises (SMEs) will keep facing an uphill climb in 2024—whatever corner of the world they happen to occupy. The International Monetary Fund forecasts that GDP growth in emerging and developing economies Read more...

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Unlocking the hidden value of their numbers is the next step for SMEs.

As the global economy continues to limp along, small and midsize enterprises (SMEs) will keep facing an uphill climb in 2024—whatever corner of the world they happen to occupy. The International Monetary Fund forecasts that GDP growth in emerging and developing economies will fall to 4% in 2023 from 4.1% in 2022 and remain at 4% in 2024, while GDP in advanced economies will drop to 1.5% this year from 2022’s 2.6% and to 1.4% in 2024.

SMEs can expect to face stronger headwinds in a sluggish economy than their larger brethren. Large corporations tend to have balance sheets that can weather the knock-on effects of such challenges as the Russia-Ukraine war, the current Middle East conflict, rising energy prices, tighter monetary policies, and governments’ cessation of pandemic support measures. For SMEs, stingier capital markets and the breakdown of open trade in favor of national self-reliance in many economies are making growth even more difficult.

This does not bode well for the global economy. Approximately 99% of businesses worldwide are SMEs, representing 60% of the business value-add, according to the OECD October 2023 SME and Entrepreneurship Outlook Polixy report. Small and midsize businesses are critical “to drive a resilient, inclusive and sustainable recovery,” the report’s authors warn.

Closing the Digital Divide

One of the most important lessons the pandemic has taught businesses is the necessity of digitalization: from improving online and mobile access for clients to virtualizing their organization’s infrastructure. Social media and cloud computing have become mainstream for most SMEs, the OECD report’s authors note, with use of the latter doubling in the past six years.

Unlocking the value hidden in the data will be critical. A World Economic Forum survey of 111 SMEs in 42 countries and 21 sectors found that “74% struggle to maximize the value of their company’s data investments.” More than half of those polled (55%) experienced difficulty finding data, and slightly fewer (54%) had difficulty maintaining their data.

“The greatest acceleration in digital diffusion in recent years has been in the conduct of big data analysis—albeit from low levels—and the purchase of cloud computing services,” says Sandrine Kergroach, head of SME and Entrepreneurship Performance, Policies and Mainstreaming at the OECD Centre for Entrepreneurship in a 2021 OECD report. “The adoption of business intelligence and supply chain management software have progressed little, especially among the smallest firms.”

Yet, the development of open banking standards, the sharing of application programming interfaces (APIs), and the rise of the sharing economy have begun to increase the value of SMEs’ internal data. That makes selecting the proper banking partner more critical than ever.

Firms need to balance access to the cheapest capital against the value-add of the technologies and other services banks can provide. This year’s World’s Best SME Bank Awards recognize those financial institutions that stand head and shoulders above their competitors in serving their SME client base.      —Robert Daly

Methodology: Behind The Rankings

The editors of Global Finance, with input from industry analysts, corporate executives and technology experts, selected the winners of the World’s Best SME Banks 2024 based on a mix of objective and subjective factors. Editors consulted entries submitted by the banks and the results of independent research. Entries were not required.

Judges considered performance from April 1, 2022, to March 31, 2023. Global Finance then applied a proprietary algorithm to shorten the list of contenders and arrive at a numerical score of up to 100. The algorithm weights a range of criteria for relative importance, including knowledge of SME markets and their needs, breadth of products and services, market standing and innovation.

Once the judges narrowed the field, they applied the final criteria, including scope of global coverage, size and experience of staff, customer service, risk management, range of products and services, execution skills and use of technology. In the case of a tie, the judges lean toward local providers rather than global institutions. The panel also tends to favor private-sector banks over government-owned institutions. The winners are those banks and providers that best serve the specialized needs of SMEs.

BTG Pactual Empresas Earns Its Laurels

For the second year running, the Brazilian digital bank BTG Pactual Empresas has swept the Best SME Bank awards for Brazil, Latin America, and the world. The bank has eased access to capital for micro, small, and midsize enterprises (MSMEs), representing approximately 90% of Brazilian companies.

Clients get a low-touch digital channel, available 24/7, that nevertheless provides a high-touch experience using open banking standards and Brazil’s PIX instant payment system. For example, BTG Pactual Empresas has shortened the time needed to obtain credit to about 30 minutes for clients participating in rural credit programs, solar-power and green financing, and women-owned businesses. Newly opened SME accounts are operable within an hour.

Once an SME account is open, account owners can export their banking data to standard spreadsheets, Microsoft Excel and Google Sheets, and enterprise resource planning (ERP) applications, instantly reconciling accounts in their ERP systems.

BTG Pactual Empresas provides such additional services as single-sign-on multiuser and multibusiness accounts, online invoicing, collection management, budgeting capabilities, foreign currency exchange and digital receipts, along with payroll, insurance, and tax and investment services. Clients can reach expert support any time via chat, email, WhatsApp and toll-free calling.       —RD

Best SME Bank Awards 2024
Global  Winner
Best SME Bank in the WorldBTG Pactual Empresas
Country & Territory Winners
Argentina Banco Nación 
Armenia Evocabank 
Austria Erste Group Bank 
Bahrain Ahli United Bank 
Bangladesh Prime Bank 
Belgium BNP Paribas Fortis 
Brazil BTG Pactual Empresas 
Cameroon Societe Generale 
Canada Royal Bank of Canada 
Chile Banco Santander Chile 
Colombia Bancolombia 
Cote d’Ivoire Bridge Bank 
Czech Republic CSOB 
Denmark Spar Nord Bank 
Dominican Republic Banreservas 
Ecuador Produbanco 
Egypt CIB 
France Banque Populaire and Caisse d’Epargne 
Georgia TBC Bank 
Germany Commerzbank 
Ghana UBA 
Greece Alpha Bank 
Hong Kong Hang Seng Bank 
Hungary OTP Bank 
India HDFC Bank 
Indonesia OCBC 
Ireland Bank of Ireland 
Italy Banco BPM 
Japan Sumimoto Mitsui Financial Group 
Jordan Arab Bank
Kazakhstan ATF Bank 
Kenya Co-operative Bank 
Kuwait National Bank of Kuwait 
Kyrgyzstan Optima Bank 
Malaysia Maybank 
Mauritius Bank One 
Mexico Banorte 
Moldova MAIB 
Mongolia Khan Bank 
Morocco Societe Generale 
Mozambique UBA Bank 
Netherlands Rabobank 
Nigeria UBA 
Norway Handelsbanken Norway 
Peru Banco de Crédito del Perú 
Philippines Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) 
Poland BNP Paribas Bank Polska 
Portugal Puerto Rico Santander Totta
Puerto Rico Banco Popular de Puerto Rico  
Qatar Qatar Development Bank 
Saudi Arabia Arab National Bank 
Singapore OCBC 
South Africa FNB 
South Korea Industrial Bank of Korea 
Spain Santander 
Sri Lanka Commercial Bank of Ceylon 
Sweden SEB 
Switzerland UBS 
Taiwan E.Sun Bank 
Tanzania NMB Bank 
Thailand Siam Commercial Bank 
Turkey Isbank 
UAE Mashreq 
United Kingdom Lloyds Bank 
United States Bank of America 
Uzbekistan Asia Alliance Bank 
Vietnam Vietcombank 
UzbekistanAsia Alliance Bank
VietnamVietcombank

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Vietnam’s Great Expectations https://gfmag.com/country-report/vietnams-great-expectations/ Thu, 21 Sep 2023 00:00:00 +0000 https://s44650.p1706.sites.pressdns.com/news/vietnams-great-expectations/ An array of investor-friendly attributes are turning Vietnam into one of Southeast Asia’s most powerful magnets for foreign direct investment.

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Vietnam GDP growth

VITAL STATISTICS

Location: Southeast Asia

Neighbors: Laos, Cambodia, China

Capital city: Hanoi

Population (2023): 98,955,793

Official language: Vietnamese (official), English increasingly favored as a second language

GDP per capita 2021 (expected): $10,600

GDP growth (2022): 8.0%

Inflation (2023): 5%

Currency: Vietnamese Dong

Investment promotion agency: Ministry of Planning and Investment

Available investment incentives:  Tax holidays in investment zones and for eligible green investments, tax incentives and discounts for individuals and entities invested in selected economic zones

PROS

Variety of investment incentives

Economy growing rapidly and expected to continue to grow

Population growing at 1% per year provides large pool of potential consumers and growing middle class

Abundant resources: resource-rich country, abundant labor, land, and natural resources

Strategic location: good base for businesses to expand into region next door to China

Signatory to numerous FTAs, including Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and Vietnam-EU Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA). Will further open market to foreign investors

Recent improvement in US relations and trade agreement

CONS

Cumbersome bureaucracy

Business licenses slow

Undereveloped infrastructure

Poor relations with China

High level of corruption

Sources: Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), CIA World Factbook, Fitch Solutions, International Monetary Fund, Reuters, Moody’s Investors Service, Transparency International, US State Department, World Bank, World Population Review

For more information, check out Global Finance‘s Vietnam Economic Report data page.

Vietnam enjoys a wealth of the features that foreign capital has come to love. In an aging world, it boasts almost uniquely favourable demographics, as 40% of its population of 100 million are under 25. It has a 1,300-kilometer land border with China, and therefore direct access to that market of 1.2 billion consumers; low wage costs; and a large, well-educated labor force. Its manufacturing base, meanwhile, benefits from the problems of its neighbor to the north, and through its membership in ASEAN, it has tariff-free access to 800 million more people across Southeast Asia.

Outside investors are getting the message.

“The 2023 outlook for the business environment in Vietnam shows promising signs of improvement,” says Thierry Mermet, CEO of Source Of Asia (SOA), a consultant to companies looking for business opportunities in Vietnam and ASEAN. “The capital from foreign direct investments reached around $10 billion [over Q1 of 2023], showing a rise of 0.5% compared to the same period last year.” SOA projects the pattern to continue. “Our projections for the next quarter are looking just as positive. Companies are actually expecting similar levels of foreign direct investment to keep coming in.”

Longer term, he says, “Vietnam is really cementing its position as one of the top three places where European business leaders want to invest.” According to the Business Confidence Index report from EuroCham, he notes, “3% more leaders have picked Vietnam as one of their top three investment choices. It’s a solid indicator that we’re on the right track.”

Ninety countries have invested in Vietnam in the first half of this year; the top five are Asian countries, with South Korea in first place, accounting for $81 billion and Singapore second with $72 billion. Japan follows in third position with nearly $70 billion committed. Notably, while the US trails in seventh position with investment capital of $USBN, it is also Vietnam’s first key export partner, accounting for almost $110 billion in 2022.

“Thomson Medical Group is one of the largest Singaporean private providers of health care services for women and children, and is  set to buy FV Hospital [in Ho Chi Minh City] in what’s being called the biggest health care deal in Vietnam,” says Mermet. Valued at $381 million, the deal not only opens up a market presence in Vietnam for Thomson but positions the country “to leverage growing medical tourism opportunities from our neighboring countries.”

Another indicator of Vietnam’s pull is homegrown electric vehicle manufacturer VinFast, which recently became the world’s third-largest automaker by market capitalization, behind Tesla and Toyota.

“With shares surging 20%, VinFast’s valuation hit an impressive $191.2 billion,” notes Barry Elliott, vice president of Tomkins Ventures and a supply chain guru long active in Vietnam. “This not only signals a promising future for the EV industry in Southeast Asia in general, but also exemplifies Vietnam’s emerging prowess in manufacturing.” VinFast now has plans to establish a plant in North Carolina.

Benefiting From The US-China Trade War

Vietnam is also benefiting from the fallout of the US-China trade war, as higher US tariffs on a wide range of Chinese exports drive companies to switch their manufacture of exports away from China toward alternative hubs in Asia.

“This trend has been further reinforced by the Covid-19 pandemic,” says Elliott, “as protracted disruptions created turmoil in global supply chains for many industries, including automobiles and electronics.” The Japanese government nudged the trend along in 2020 by introducing a subsidy program for Japanese companies relocating production out of China, either back to Japan or to certain other designated countries.

“Since 2020, Vietnam has been one of the preferred destinations for Japanese firms choosing to shift their production to the ASEAN region in the first round of subsidy allocations,” Elliott notes. “This trend continues.”

The US, meanwhile, is boosting its economic and technical ties with Vietnam as Beijing grows more assertive in the region.

The recently disclosed establishment of a “comprehensive strategic partnership” give the US a diplomatic status that Vietnam has so far reserved for only a handful of other countries: China, Russia, India, and South Korea. The move was confirmed by a senior Biden administration official and two people in Hanoi familiar with the matter.

The deal, expected to be announced officially during President Biden’s state visit to Vietnam in September, is the latest step by his administration to deepen relations in Asia. For Hanoi, the closer relationship with Washington provides a critical counterweight to Beijing’s influence.

“This shows that Hanoi is willing to risk angering Beijing but sees the move toward Washington as necessary, given how aggressively China is flexing its military muscle in the region,” says Derek Grossman, senior defense analyst at the Rand Corporation. “If you have the US on the same pedestal as China, that is saying a lot to Beijing, but also to the rest of the region and to the world. That’s saying the US-Vietnam relationship has come a long way since 1995,” when the two countries normalized relations.

On a recent trip to Ho Chi Minh City, Jacqueline Poh, managing director of Singapore’s Economic Development Board (ED,B) met with startups in financial services, robotics, and renewables. She noted the great influence of a returning diaspora with deep experience abroad, tagged approvingly by the Vietnamese as “sea turtles.”

“All have a can-do spirit, support for each other, and gumption,” says Poh. ”This heady mix has created a conducive local startup ecosystem.”

Poh also cited the growth of the Vietnam-Singapore Industrial Parks (VSIPs), the first of which were established in 1996 and now number 17 across 10 locations “The existing 14 VSIPs have garnered $18.7 billion in investment so far and have created 300,000 jobs in Vietnam,” she notes.

Incentives driving the rise in foreign direct investing, says Carsten Ley, founder and managing director of Asia PMO, which advises companies on operations in Vietnam, is a “China plus one” risk mitigation model aimed at forestalling on China by building redundancy in at least one other regional center. As a case in point, Ley cites Apple, which recently moved iPod production from China to Ho Chi Minh City, where most manufacturing is located. “Many Korean companies are also investing,” he says: “Samsung, LG on the IT side. Lego just opened a huge factory outside Ho Chi Minh.”

As this suggests, Vietnam is now moving up the value chain from shoes and garments toward high tech, including Vietnamese fintechs such as payment providers Momo, ZaloPay, and VNPay, and foreign startups.

“As a consequence of this and other factors,” says Ley, “a rapid growth in capital expenditure is expected, reflecting continued strong foreign direct investment by multinationals as well as domestic infrastructure spending.”Given the volume of large-investor interest, it’s no surprise that venture capital is becoming a presence in Vietnam as well. My Tran, principal of local VC investor Jungle Ventures, previously spent a year and a half at VinaCapital Ventures, which is the country’s largest local VC firm and now focuses on pre-A and A-stage investments.

Now based in Ho Chi Minh City—her firm “it’s called Jungle Ventures because we invest very diversely in emerging markets”—My focuses on industries including technology in Southeast Asia and India. Jungle Ventures’ five current investments in Vietnam include Kiotviet, a maker of POS/store management software; Edupia, the country’s largest on-line education company with over 500,000 student subscribers; Medici, an insurance and health care provider; Timo, a digital bank; and Dat Bike, the biggest electric bike manufacturer in South Asia.

VC funds in Vietnam are sourced from all over the world, My notes, with a growing interest from the west, including the US. Yet she acknowledges two main challenges.

“The regulatory framework, especially for financial services, is complex,” she says. “There are foreign ownership limits. But it is possible to invest in insurance, for example, up to limits.”

The second challenge is language and communication; Vietnamese over age 40 did not learn English in school, although it is now taught to all.

These issues notwithstanding, My remains confident. “The best is yet to come,” she says.

 

 

 

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